Add food and utility CPI forecasts

changelog_entry.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,4 @@
+- bump: minor
+  changes:
+    added:
+    - CPI category forecasts.

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/obr/inflation/food_beverages_and_tobacco.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+description: OBR CPI category inflation projection for food, beverages and tobacco.
+values:
+  2018-01-01: 1
+  2019-01-01: 1.018
+  2020-01-01: 1.026
+  2021-01-01: 1.048
+  2022-01-01: 1.166
+  2023-01-01: 1.296
+  2024-01-01: 1.329
+  2025-01-01: 1.352
+  2026-01-01: 1.387
+  2027-01-01: 1.426
+  2028-01-01: 1.461
+metadata:
+  unit: currency-GBP
+  reference: OBR
+  label: Food and beverages inflation

policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/obr/inflation/utilities.yaml

@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+description: OBR CPI category inflation projection for utilities
+values:
+  2018-01-01: 1
+  2019-01-01: 1.049
+  2020-01-01: 0.972
+  2021-01-01: 1.090
+  2022-01-01: 1.968
+  2023-01-01: 1.916
+  2024-01-01: 1.478
+  2025-01-01: 1.365
+  2026-01-01: 1.281
+  2027-01-01: 1.313
+  2028-01-01: 1.365
+metadata:
+  unit: currency-GBP
+  reference: OBR
+  label: Utilities inflation

policyengine_uk/variables/input/consumption/coicop.py

@@ -14,7 +14,7 @@ class food_and_non_alcoholic_beverages_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.food_and_non_alcoholic_beverages"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.inflation.food_beverages_and_tobacco"
 
 
 class alcohol_and_tobacco_consumption(Variable):
@@ -25,9 +25,8 @@ class alcohol_and_tobacco_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = (
-        "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.alcohol_and_tobacco"
-    )
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.inflation.food_beverages_and_tobacco"
 
 
 class clothing_and_footwear_consumption(Variable):
@@ -38,9 +37,7 @@ class clothing_and_footwear_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = (
-        "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.clothing_and_footwear"
-    )
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class housing_water_and_electricity_consumption(Variable):
@@ -53,7 +50,7 @@ class housing_water_and_electricity_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.housing_water_and_electricity"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class household_furnishings_consumption(Variable):
@@ -64,6 +61,7 @@ class household_furnishings_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class health_consumption(Variable):
@@ -74,7 +72,7 @@ class health_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.health"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class transport_consumption(Variable):
@@ -85,7 +83,7 @@ class transport_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.transport"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class communication_consumption(Variable):
@@ -96,7 +94,7 @@ class communication_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.communication"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class recreation_consumption(Variable):
@@ -107,7 +105,7 @@ class recreation_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.recreation"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class education_consumption(Variable):
@@ -118,7 +116,7 @@ class education_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.education"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class restaurants_and_hotels_consumption(Variable):
@@ -129,9 +127,7 @@ class restaurants_and_hotels_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = (
-        "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.restaurants_and_hotels"
-    )
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class miscellaneous_consumption(Variable):
@@ -142,7 +138,7 @@ class miscellaneous_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.miscellaneous"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class petrol_spending(Variable):
@@ -152,7 +148,7 @@ class petrol_spending(Variable):
     value_type = float
     unit = GBP
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.transport"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class diesel_spending(Variable):
@@ -162,7 +158,7 @@ class diesel_spending(Variable):
     value_type = float
     unit = GBP
     quantity_type = FLOW
-    uprating = "calibration.uprating.monthly_cpi_by_category.transport"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class childcare_expenses(Variable):
@@ -172,6 +168,7 @@ class childcare_expenses(Variable):
     documentation = "Total amount spent on childcare"
     definition_period = YEAR
     unit = GBP
+    uprating = "gov.obr.consumer_price_index"
 
 
 class private_pension_contributions(Variable):
@@ -181,6 +178,7 @@ class private_pension_contributions(Variable):
     documentation = "Total amount spent on private pension contributions"
     definition_period = YEAR
     unit = GBP
+    uprating = "gov.obr.average_earnings"
 
 
 class occupational_pension_contributions(Variable):

policyengine_uk/variables/input/consumption/energy.py

@@ -11,4 +11,4 @@ class domestic_energy_consumption(Variable):
     definition_period = YEAR
     value_type = float
     unit = GBP
-    uprating = "gov.ofgem.energy_price_cap"
+    uprating = "gov.obr.inflation.utilities"